In 2030, Will a Robot Do Your Job?
The answer is probably no — assuming the government takes action.
A 2017 report from the infamous consulting firm McKinsey & Company attempted to predict what types and how much of the work we currently do could be replaced by AI and automation by the year 2030, and where that might leave room for job growth in other industries. It did so by looking at the different speeds of adoption and development of these new technologies.
As much talk as there is about AI fully replacing jobs, the study found that the vast majority could not be fully automated, with less than 5% at risk. It did, however, predict that 15% of all work done globally would be automated by 2030, with the estimate more or less based on how fast the technology is adopted, given the technology does not reach what McKinsey sees as its potential.
They estimate that about 50% of what we currently do for work is “technically automatable by adapting currently demonstrated technologies,” and that this could impact a wide range of jobs. According to the report, 60% of jobs could have at least one-third of their associated work replaced by automation.